Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.720360 1.983016 2.272004 2.613528 3.006133 3.443374 3.967391
2025-05-11 1.358441 1.702824 2.113939 2.640822 3.298317 4.092092 5.123948
2025-05-18 1.069528 1.441553 1.918114 2.573219 3.450771 4.586589 6.170358
2025-05-25 0.841898 1.210077 1.712086 2.446356 3.493603 4.935064 7.073583
2025-06-01 0.706803 1.076225 1.608926 2.432689 3.675486 5.482992 8.317694
2025-06-08 0.594122 0.953336 1.498327 2.384801 3.792192 5.943959 9.492919
2025-06-15 0.544883 0.917259 1.509088 2.517283 4.194264 6.877873 11.512347
2025-06-22 0.486038 0.855393 1.468247 2.557955 4.450469 7.609626 13.302725
2025-06-29 0.425803 0.781184 1.395062 2.531179 4.585460 8.152547 14.841521
2025-07-06 0.361927 0.690530 1.280086 2.413142 4.541184 8.376071 15.841540
2025-07-13 0.338459 0.669971 1.286307 2.513560 4.902170 9.359169 18.345963
2025-07-20 0.320124 0.656224 1.302568 2.633611 5.313354 10.481505 21.255327
2025-07-27 0.296037 0.629181 1.292612 2.707173 5.656324 11.541363 24.239125
2025-08-03 0.269271 0.592798 1.259357 2.729520 5.900605 12.441946 27.036192
2025-08-10 0.237118 0.540168 1.185490 2.656363 5.935410 12.920641 29.019602
2025-08-17 0.204522 0.481564 1.090624 2.523629 5.821713 13.069180 30.304497
2025-08-24 0.185248 0.450278 1.051081 2.508515 5.967226 13.798072 32.990608
2025-08-31 0.165906 0.415899 0.999727 2.458571 6.025035 14.336925 35.312265
2025-09-07 0.160587 0.414662 1.025204 2.594789 6.542905 16.003121 40.554349
2025-09-14 0.149962 0.398580 1.012873 2.636508 6.835662 17.173227 44.743905
2025-09-21 0.136653 0.373596 0.975168 2.608799 6.949917 17.922596 47.976871
2025-09-28 0.120178 0.337762 0.905085 2.487097 6.804146 18.001390 49.480736
2025-10-05 0.115841 0.334334 0.918773 2.590542 7.270289 19.712793 55.579203